Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Wellness Sky

If you're ever traveling to Belgrade, Serbia, be sure to get a workout in here. This building is the "Danube Flower" and it began its life way back in the early 1970's as a Russian Communist outpost only to later lay abused and abandoned during the country's civil war of the 1990's.

Just recently, it's been fully renovated and turned into a state of the art fitness center.

Amazing facts: The space sits fifteen feet above the river and walkway below, a glass sandwich really between the towering concrete top and bottom. The entire building is based on 7.3 meter triangles and at its heart, boasts a ceiling consisting of 390 backlit panels that bounce the sun's rays off a highly reflective resin floor and emanate the space with light.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

LEAVING LAS VEGAS

Are the beckoning hedonistic lights of Las Vegas dimming? Are more Americans rejecting the lascivious city for more grown up, realistic duties? Has the downturn of the economy made people begin to repress their wild side?

If you look at the local U-Haul in Henderson, it sure looks so. They’ve seen far more outgoing rentals than incoming. And across the landscape, empty homes sit, for sale, foreclosed and rapidly accumulating. Stalled casino projects lay abandoned, gasping for financing. Even Mother Nature added her two cents: purifying the region with a white blanket of angelic snow last month.

But all is not lost. As the economy’s been hit, hotels, shows, even airlines have lowered costs to become more attractive. And there’s nothing like the ability to find not only a seat at a craps table, but have some room to stretch out on a Saturday night. In fact, if you can swing it, these are some of the best times to be in Vegas. The big pond mentality has dried up. Now, even tourists can feel like locals, treated to amazing deals on bottle service in clubs to limo service around town. And the quality of available entertainment is at an all-time high, including shows such as Le Reve, Cirque du Soleil, David Copperfield, Jersey Boys, Elton John and Donny and Marie.

The media might cry that the sky is falling, but in Las Vegas, the sky will always have its place, above the glittering lights.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Goodbye 2008, Hello 2009?

If the global financial panic of 2008 hit the real estate community hard, it had an even more devastating impact upon the condo hotel industry. Thankfully 2008 is past. But with it, is the panic gone too? What does 2009 hold for the condo hotel industry?

Recent data suggests that there is a large amount of unsold condo hotel units on the market—both in construction and in deliverable form. There are many reasons for this, most notably the lack of financing for not just the consumer but also for the developer. With a lack of confidence, comes a lack of money. Many consumers who purchased condo hotels to flip them ran smack into the collapse of the housing bubble, and smack into foreclosure. Even owners who purchased for the long term are walking away from forfeitable deposits because or the collapse of value and the difficulty of finding financing.

The other major reason for the condo hotel bust is that the majority of developments were constructed as un-branded entities and in seasonal or poor locations. Much like the bad timeshare product of the 1970’s and 80’s (before Marriott got involved) these ill-advised developments have helped give condo hotels a bad name.

Yet as we all know, at the time of deepest crisis comes the time of greatest opportunity. And the recent economic downturn has helped purge the majority of those poorly developed early-phase projects. Now, opportunistic investors are searching through the rubble of the real estate bubble and discovering gold.

Failed condo hotel projects present one of the single best buys today for opportunistic investors, whether the investor is buying assets or debt. In fact, the debt on a condo hotel project is particularly attractive as lenders and other capital providers holding debt interests in failed condo hotel projects may be more willing to sell that debt at a deeper discount because of the potential pitfalls and risks involved in ultimately owning the condo hotel project.

And, looking past the few ‘bad apple’ failed condo hotel projects, the majority remains resilient. Especially those in cities such as NY, Las Vegas, Hawaii and San Francisco. A bad economy has forced existing condo hotels to become even more attractive to the owner—such as relaxing HOA restrictions and allowing for stronger, more productive and lucrative third party management companies to rent and maintain their properties.

Panic, greed and forced sales helped create the 2008 financial mess. The keywords for 2009 will be perseverance, courage and smarts. Consumers and developers alike have incredible deals on their hands as long as they understand the condo hotel business, research the brand and management company, find a unit in a desirable location and remember those three simple keywords.